Watershed Conditions Statement: Flood Outlook
Jan 9, 2020 - Weather forecasts are currently predicting a combined potential total
of up to 70 – 90 mm of rainfall starting late Thursday evening and ending late on
Saturday. Rain, freezing rain, and snow are all possible with the bulk of the rain
expected on Saturday.
There is still uncertainty as to which areas will be most impacted by this low pressure
system. KCCA will be monitoring the forecast closely.
Ground conditions throughout the watershed are wet and/or frozen. If the lower forecasted
rain events are realized bank full conditions may be reached. If the higher forecasted
volumes are realized and distributed over a short time period flooding may occur
in low lying areas throughout the watershed.
Residents along the Lake Erie Shoreline and in particular the Village of Port Stanley
are reminded of KCCA’s Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Outlook Updated on January 2, 2020.
Sustained and gusty southwesterly winds at or above 50 km/hr may cause flooding
along the Lake Erie shoreline.
All residents are reminded to take extreme caution around all waterways at this
time as levels are expected to remain high over the next several days. Banks will
be slippery and, when combined with cold, fast-moving water, pose a serious hazard.
Parents are encouraged to keep their children and pets away from all watercourses.
Residents throughout the watershed should pay attention to local conditions and
be prepared. Make sure culverts and catchbasins are free from debris and functioning
properly. Property should be removed from low-lying areas.
This flood outlook is in effect until 12:00 p.m. Monday January 13, 2020.
More information on the flood warning system is available on KCCA's web site www.kettlecreekconservation.on.ca
Follow KCCA flood messages on Twitter and Facebook @KettleCreekCA
The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:
- Watershed Conditions Statement (Previously High Water Safety Bulletin): a general
notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which
have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting
ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers,
canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for
flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind
or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding
- Flood Watch (Previously Flood Advisory): Flooding is possible in specific watercourses
or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners
in flood-prone areas should prepare.
- Flood Warning (No change): Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific
watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action
to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations.