February 24, 2019 - St. Thomas-Residents in Port Stanley are advised that the sustained
winds from the south-southwest (65 km/hr with gusts up to 110km/h) may create a
storm surge. The extent of the surge will depend on the direction of and speed of
the sustained winds. There is some uncertainty in the extent of the surge due to
the existing lake ice.
The Great Lakes Operational Storm Surge model for February 24, 2019 is forecasting
1.4m at Port Stanley with waves to 2.42m from the south-southwest, peaking around
3 to 4 a.m. on Monday morning February 25, 2019.
This surge and waves may create shoreline flooding, cause bluff erosion, and push
lake ice onto shorelines. Residents asked to monitor their local conditions and
take necessary precautions overnight Sunday and into Monday morning.
KCCA will closely monitor local conditions and will provide any updates if conditions
warrant. This watershed conditions statement—flood outlook will remain in effect
until Monday, February 25. For further updates log on to www.kettlecreekconservation.on.ca
or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Facebook and Twitter
The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:
- Watershed Conditions Statement (Previously High Water Safety Bulletin): a general
notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which
have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting
ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers,
canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for
flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind
or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding
- Flood Watch (Previously Flood Advisory): Flooding is possible in specific watercourses
or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners
in flood-prone areas should prepare.
- Flood Warning (No change): Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific
watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action
to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations.