July 2, 2019 - This notice is intended to update the public and local municipalities
on the high water levels in Lake Erie and the effects on the Kettle Creek Conservation
Authority (KCCA) watershed.
Due to the ongoing record high water levels in Lake Erie, the current Flood Watch
will remain in effect for all shoreline areas within the KCCA watershed. Areas of
concern are the low lying beach communities and shoreline areas along Lake Erie,
including the low lying areas along the downstream reaches of Kettle Creek within
Port Stanley. Unless superseded by a Flood Warning, this watch will remain in effect
until July 31, 2019 at which time conditions will be reevaluated.
As of July 1, 2019, Lake Erie’s static (calm) water level was 175.17m. This water
level is 82cm above average and 13cm above the record-high for this time of year
(set in 1986). This level does not account for any increase in water levels due
to storm surge or wind driven waves. Water levels in Lake Erie typically decline
over the summer months, however this is not a typical year. Water levels have yet
to stabilize and are still increasing week to week. The week ending July 1st indicates
that the mean has increased by an additional 3 cm.
As a result of the high lake levels, there continues to be a heightened risk for
flooding and erosion along the Lake Erie shoreline due to storm surge. The greatest
risk for flooding and erosion in the Kettle Creek watershed is in Port Stanley when
storms bring sustained Southwest winds. Typically, sustained wind speeds in the
range of 50 km/hr or higher are associated with an increased risk of flooding, shoreline
erosion, and damage to shoreline structures due to damaging waves and localized
flooding. As well, higher water levels in Lake Erie can decrease the outflow of
Kettle Creek, reducing the available capacity to handle rainfall events.
Residents are reminded to continue to be aware of their local conditions and take
appropriate action should conditions change. Under high water and flooding conditions,
the combination of slippery banks, waves, waves overtopping shoreline structures,
and fast moving water can be dangerous. Standing water can also present its own
unseen hazards. Children and pets should be kept away from flowing or standing water
as well as shoreline areas.
A well-attended public information session was held in Port Stanley on Tuesday June
25, 2019 where KCCA and Municipal staff were on hand to provide a presentation and
information on the current lake conditions and the dangers of storm surge. Residents
who were unable to attend the information session can access the presentation on
the KCCA YouTube page.
KCCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and provide updates as
warranted. For further updates, log on to www.kettlecreekconservation.on.ca or connect
with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Facebook and Twitter @KettleCreekCA.
The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:
- Watershed Conditions Statement (Previously High Water Safety Bulletin): a general
notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which
have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting
ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers,
canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for
flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind
or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding
- Flood Watch (Previously Flood Advisory): Flooding is possible in specific watercourses
or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners
in flood-prone areas should prepare.
- Flood Warning (No change): Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific
watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action
to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations.=